Working Papers

Edwards, Ryan D. 2010. Forecasting Government Revenue and Expenditure in the U.S. Using Data on Age-Specific Utilization. E2010

Andrew Mason and Ronald Lee, 2010, National Transfer Accounts: Introducing Age into National Accounts. Vol I C3

Kluge, Fanny Annemarrie. 2009. Transfer, consumption and income over the life cycle in Germany. K2009

Bravo, Jorge, and Mauricio Holz. National Transfer Accounts: Concepts and some examples from Latin America and Asia. BM2009

Lee, Ronald, and Andrew Mason. 2009. Some macroeconomic aspects of global population aging. Abstract and download LM2009

Lee, Ronald, and Andrew Mason. 2009. Generational economics in a changing world. Abstract and download LM2009b

Lee, Ronald, and Andrew Mason. 2009. New perspectives from National Transfer Accounts for national fiscal policy, social programs, and family transfers. Paper prepared for the Expert Group Meeting on Population Ageing, Intergenerational Transfers and Social Protection, Santiago, Chile, 20-21 October 2009. LM2009c

Lee, Ronald. 2009. Population aging, intergenerational transfers, and economic growth: Latin America in a global context. Paper prepared for the Expert Group Meeting on Population Ageing, Intergenerational Transfers and Social Protection, CELADE/ECLAC/DESA, Santiago, Chile, October 20-21, 2009. L2009

Qian, Wenlan. 2009. Generational Accounts for Public Education in the US: Historical and Projected. Q2009

Note: This is a technical report originally produced for US NTA on June 5, 2002.

Ronald Lee and Andrew Mason, "Fertility, Human Capital, and Economic Growth over the Demographic Transition" Presented to the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, New Orleans, April 2008. Presented at the Conference on the Economic Consequences of Low Fertility, World Demographic Association, University of St. Gallen, St. Gallen, Switzerland, April 10-12, 2008. Revised February 2, 2009. WP08-02

Andrew Mason, "Sustainable Economic Policies in an Aging World," Shanghai Forum 2008, Fudan University, Shanghai, May 25-27, 2008. wp08-03

Andrew Mason, Sang-Hyop Lee, and Ronald Lee, 2008 forthcoming "Will Demographic Change Undermine Asia's Growth Prospects", Emerging Asian Regionalism: Ten Years after the Crisis. Asian Development Bank (December).

An earlier version of this paper was titled “Asian Demographic Change: Its Economic and Social Implications”, WP08-04.

Andrew Mason, Ronald Lee, and Sang-Hyop Lee, “Demographic Transition and Economic Growth in the Pacific Rim”, This paper was prepared for the East Asian Seminar on Economics (EASE), held in Seoul, Korea, June 19-21, 2008. WP08-05.

Rachel Racelis and J.M. Ian Salas. A Note on Defining the Dependent Population Based on Age. RS2008a

Rachel Racelis and J.M. Ian Salas. Have Lifecycle Consumption and Income Patterns in the Philippines Changed between 1994 and 2002? RS2008b

J.M. Ian Salas and Rachel Racelis. Consumption, Income, and Intergenerational Reallocation of Resources: Application of NTA in the Philippines, 1999. SR2008

Naohiro Ogawa, Andrew Mason, Amonthep Chawla, and Rikiya Matsukura (2008) "Japan’s Unprecedented Aging and Changing Intergenerational Transfers" presented at the NBER-TCER-KDI conference on “The Demographic Transition in the Pacific Rim”, June 19-21, Seoul, Korea OMCM 2008

Stéphane Zuber, Antoine Bommier, Jérôme Bourdieu, Akiko Suwa-Eisenmann. "Le développement des transferts publics d’éducation et d’assurance vieillesse par génération en France : 1850-2000". ZBBS 2008

Rachel Racelis and J.M. Ian Salas. Measuring Economic Lifecycle and Flows across Population Age Groups: Data and Methods in the Application of the NTA in the Philippines. RS2007

Andrew Mason and Ronald Lee, 2006. Transfers, Capital, and Consumption over the Demographic Transition, in Robert Clark, Andrew Mason, and Naohiroo Ogawa (eds.) Population Aging, Intergenerational Transfers and the Macroeconomy, Pp. 128-162. Northampton, MA: Edward Elgar.

Earlier version as working paper and paper presented at the Conference on Population Aging, Intergenerational Transfers and the Macroeconomy, Nihon University Population Research Institute, Tokyo, Japan, June 26-28, 2006: ML2006a

Supplementary materials

Tomoko Kinugasa and Andrew Mason. forthcoming. "Why Nations Become Wealthy: The Effects of Adult Longevity on Saving" World Development 35(1): 1-23.

Earlier version as working paper: KM2006

Andrew Mason and Ronald Lee. 2006. "Reform and Support Systems for the Elderly in Developing Countries: Capturing the Second Demographic Dividend." GENUS LXII(2): 11-35.

Earlier version as working paper: ML2006b

Ronald Lee and Andrew Mason, 2006. "What is the Demographic Dividend?" Finance and Development (September) 16-17. LM2006

 Same paper in different languages:
 "Les dividendes de l’évolution démographique" LM2006_French
 "¿Cuál es el dividendo demográfico?" LM2006_Spanish
 "Что такое демографический дивиденд?" LM2006_Russian

Andrew Mason, “Demographic Dividends and Public Policy,” Asia-Pacific Population Journal 21(3): 7-16.

Earlier version as working paper: M2006

Andrew Mason, Ronald Lee, An-Chi Tung, Mun-Sim Lai, and Tim Miller, 2009. Population Aging and Intergenerational Transfers: Introducing Age into National Accounts, Developments in the Economics of Aging'', David Wise, ed. (National Bureau of Economic Research: University of Chicago Press)89-122.

Revised March 2010.

MLTLM2005

Cassio Turra and Bernardo Queiroz. Intergenerational Transfers and Socioeconomic Inequality in Brazil: a first look. Taller sobre Transformaciones Demograficas, Transferencias Intergeneracionales y Proteccion Social en America Latina, Santiago, Chile, July 6-7, 2005. TQ2005a

Cassio Turra and Bernardo Queiroz. Before it's too late: Demographic Transition, Labor Supply and Social Security Problems in Brazil. United Nations Expert Group Meeting on Social and Economic Implications of Changing Population Age Structures, Mexico City, August 31 - September 2, 2005 TQ2005b

Naohiro Ogawa and Rikiya Matsukura. The Role of Older Persons' Changing Health and Wealth in an Aging Society: The Case of Japan. United Nations Expert Group Meeting on Social and Economic Implications of Changing Population Age Structures, Mexico City, August 31 - September 2, 2005 OM2005

Jorge Bravo. Intergenerational transfers and social protection in Latin America. United Nations Expert Group Meeting on Social and Economic Implications of Changing Population Age Structures, Mexico City, August 31 - September 2, 2005 B2005

Andrew Mason. Demographic Transition and Demographic Dividends in Developed and Developing Countries. United Nations Expert Group Meeting on Social and Economic Implications of Changing Population Age Structures, Mexico City, August 31 - September 2, 2005 M2005

Andrew Mason. Demographic Dividends: The Past, the Present, and the Future. Joint International Conference of The 21st Century COE (Center of Excellence) Program of Kobe University and the Japan Economic Policy Association (JEPA), Awaji Yumebutai International Conference Center near Kobe, Japan, December 17-18, 2005. M2005a

Ronald Lee, Sang-Hyop Lee, and Andrew Mason. Charting the Economic Life-Cycle, November 2005. Revised December 2006. Revised August 2007. LLM2005

Ronald Lee and Andrew Mason, A Research Plan for the Macroeconomic Demography of Intergenerational Transfers, January 2004. LM2004

Antoine Bommier, Ronald Lee, Timothy Miller, and Stephane Zuber, Who wins and who loses? Public transfer accounts for US generations born 1850 to 2090, December 2004. BLMZ2004

Note: To be published in Population and Development Review, March 2010. A spreadsheet with the charts and tables of the plotted data is available here: BLMZ2004_Charts. Explanations of the construction and interpretation of these data and charts are given in the article. Please cite the Population and Development Review article if you use these data.

Ronald Lee, Andrew Mason, and Sang-Hyop Lee, Individual Earnings and Consumption Profiles: What do we Know? Symposium on Population Aging and Economic Productivity, Vienna Institute of Demography, December, 2004. LML2004

Team. An Overview of National Transfers Accounts, December 2004. NTA2004

Maliki. Estimation of Intergenerational Education Transfers in Indonesia, December 2004. M2004