Abstract WP16-03

The lack of consistent yearly estimates of National Transfer Accounts, particularly public transfer inflows and outflows by age and purpose, has beset a stronger debate about the consequences of population aging in Brazil. This gap is addressed by estimating public transfers on education, public health, social security for both private workers and public employees, as well, as other cash and in-kind transfers using comparable data sources and methodology for the longest period possible since the promulgation of the new constitution, 1996-2011. We are interested in examining how changes in age structure and the age profiles of public transfers have affected aggregate net transfers across age groups in Brazil. In addition, we measure how resilient the pattern of public intergenerational transfers has been over the last two decades, by comparing yearly ratios of public transfers to elderly and children in Brazil with those for other NTA countries. This paper is part of the NTA/World Bank project: Aging and the Changing Nature of Intergenerational Flows in Developing Countries.

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