Abstract WP16-02

The purpose of the paper is to examine the linkages between population and the public sector using the model developed by Mason, Lee et al (2015). The 2012 Thai National Transfer Account (NTA) data set is used to quantify the linkages. This paper emphasizes the experience of Thailand although it compares the results with other countries. The outline of this paper is as follows: Section 2 provides an overview of the population structure and government budgeting system in Thailand. The section also describes how recent public policy shifts has affected the government’s budget structure. Section 3 presents National Transfer Account data used in the analysis of public sector effects of demographic change. Section 4 summarizes the model briefly and presents the results. The final section provides concluding remarks. This paper is part of the NTA/World Bank project: Aging and the Changing Nature of Intergenerational Flows in Developing Countries.