8th NTA Workshop

Intergenerational Approaches to Social and Economic Policy

Cedeplar - Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais

Belo Horizonte, Brazil, December 5-9, 2011

Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, December 12, 2011


AGENDA - Belo Horizonte - December 5th to 9th, 2011

NTA Training Workshop, December 5-7

UN Experts group meeting on NTA manual (by invitation only), December 6-7

NTA Conference, December 8-9

NTA Training Workshop

Dec 5th, 2011

8:30 - 9:00 AM Short welcome session for groups A and B combined (All)

9-12 AM Session, Track A: Intro

9-12 AM Session, Track B: Gender and Time Use

2-5 PM Session, Track A: The Economic Lifecycle

2-5 PM Session, Track B: Wealth Accounts and Bequests

Dec 6th, 2011

9-12 AM Session, Track A: Public Reallocations

9-12 AM Session, Track B: Transfer Account Indicators

2-5 PM Session, Track A: Private Reallocations

2-5 PM Session, Track B: Generational Accounts

Dec 7th, 2011

9-12 AM Session, Track A: Review

9-12 AM Session, Track B: Inequality

2-6 PM General Training Session, Communicating to Policy Makers + publishing in peer review journals

Track A - This is intended for researchers who were new or relatively new to NTA. The focus is on constructing NTA for a single year.

Track B - This is primarily oriented towards those who had constructed a complete set of NTA. The goal is to develop the next round of NTA research. This includes applications but also extensions of NTA.

NTA Conference

Dec 8th, 2011

8:30 – 9:00 – Registration, coffee/tea, light breakfast

9:00 – 9:15 – Welcoming remarks

Plenary Session (Chair: Cássio Turra)

09:15 – 10:30 Plenary Presentation

Ronald Lee and Andrew Mason , How Low Should Fertility Go? Capital, Transfers and Consumption NTA8_Lee_Mason

Bernhard Hammer, Joze Sambt, and Alexia Furnkranz-Prskawetz Sustainability of the Welfare State: A Comparison of Austria and Sweden using NTA NTA8_Hammer_etal

Young Jun Chun Generational Accounts for Korea: An Update NTA8_Chun_GenAccounts

10:30 – 11:00 Coffee Break

11:00 – 12:00 Plenary Presentation

Ivan MejiaGuevara, Felix Velez, Victor Garcia, Rafael Lopez Analysis by Age and Socioeconomic Status of the Public Transfers in Mexico NTA8_Mejia_Analysis

Morné Oosthuizen and Toughedah Jacobs South African National Transfer Accounts: Implications for Policy NTA8_Oosthuizen_Jacobs

12:00 – 1:30 – Lunch and Group Photograph

Dec 8th, 2011

Concurrent Sessions

1:30 – 3:15

A) Generational Accounts (Chair: Concepción Patxot Cardoner)

Gal, RI and Valentiny, A A time series of generational accounts for Hungary NTA8_Gal_Valentiny

M.R. Narayana Construction of Generational Accounts for India NTA8_Narayana_Construction

Iván Mejía-Guevara A Review of the Generational Accounts for the United States NTA8_Mejia_ga_us

Maliki Generational Accounts: examining the fiscal sustainability of public transfers scheme in Indonesia NTA8_Maliki

B) Inequality and Class I (Chair: Tim Miller)

B. Piedad Urdinola, Jorge Tovar and Adriana Reyes Inequality in National Inter-generational Transfers in Colombia NTA8_Urdinola_Tovar_Reyes

Latif Dramani Escaping chronic poverty in Senegal: intergenerational determinants NTA8_Dramani_EscPov

Michael R.M. Abrigo Human capital, Inequality, and Demographic transition in the Philippines NTA8_Abrigo

Luis Rosero-Bixby and Pamela Jiménez-Fontana Demographic change in Costa Rica: Challenges and opportunities for fiscal policy or the fiscal demographic dividend NTA8_Rosero_Jimenez

C) NTA: issues and estimates (Chair: Sang Hyop-Lee)

Izabel Marri, Cassio Turra and Simone Wajnman Who benefits from elderly intra-household transfers in Brazil? NTA8_Marri_etal

Gilberto Norte and Cassiano Chipembe The structure of public and private flows: Mozambique, 2008/9 NTA8_Norte_Chipembe

Adedoyin Soyibo, Olanrewaju Olaniyan, and Akanni O. Lawanson Population Aging and Social Protection in Nigeria NTA8_Soyibo_etal

Laishram Ladusingh and M.R.Narayana Era of Economic Reforms, Population Ageing and Support System in India NTA8_Ladusingh_Narayana

Concurrent Sessions

3:45 – 5:30

D) Gender (Chair: Germano Mwabu)

B. Piedad Urdinola and Adriana Reyes The winning couple: formal wife and informal husband NTA8_Urdinola_Reyes

Latif Dramani Gender and Intergenerational human capital transmission: the case of education in Senegal NTA8_Dramani_Senegal

Qiulin Chen Intergenerational Gender Equality in China: A Perspective of NTA

Emilio Zagheni, Marina Zannella How much time do parents spend with their children? Italian time transfers by age, gender, and parity, in a comparative perspective NTA8_Zagheni_Zannella

E) Generational economy over time (Chair: M.R. Narayana)

Qi Zhang, Marcel Mérette, and Patrick Georges A Population Aging Analysis for Canada Using the National Transfer Accounts Approach NTA8_Zhang_Merette

Josh Goldstein, Carl Mason, Emilio Zagheni Can Grandma Help with the Kids? A Demographic Analysis of the Sandwich Generation NTA8_Goldstein_etal

Holger Bonin and Concepció Patxot Cyclically Neutral Generational Accounting NTA8_Bonin_Patxot

Thomas Lindh, Gustav Oeberg, and Miguel Sanchez-Romero. Backcasting National Transfer Accounts in Sweden from 1800 to 2009 NTA8_Lindh_etal

F) Age structure and macroeconomics (Chair: Adedoyin Soyibo)

Giang Thanh Long, Pham Ngoc Toan, and Pham Mihn Thu Population Age Structure Changes and Demographic Dividend in Viet Nam – Findings from NTA Approach NTA8_Long_etal

Sang-Hyop Lee, Andrew Mason, and Donghyun Park Demographic Transition and Economic Growth in Asia NTA8_Lee_Mason_Park

Young Jun CHUN Growth and Welfare Effects of Population Aging NTA8_Chun_AgingGrowth

Naohiro Ogawa, Hirofumi Ando and Rikiya Matsukura Population Aging and Intergenerational Transfers in Japan: An Update

Dec 9th, 2011

Concurrent Sessions

8:30 – 10:15

G) Generational Accounts II (Chair: Robert Gal)

Iván Mejía-Guevara, Félix Vélez, and Virgilio Partida Generational Accounting in Mexico: An update NTA8_Mejia_ga_mx

Risto Vaittinen and Reijo Vanne Financial crisis and public finances in Finland – A generational accounting perspective NTA8_Vaittinen_Vanne

Naomi Miyazato Intergenerational Redistribution Policies of the 1990s and 2000s in Japan: an analysis using generational accounts NTA8_Miyazato

Joze Sambt, Bernhard Hammer, Alexia Fürnkranz-Prskawetz, Janez Malacic NTA in Austria and Slovenia: The role of recent pension reforms and options for the future NTA8_Sambt_etal

H) Public Sector Issues (Chair: Andrew Mason)

Donghyun Park Intergenerational Approaches to Social and Economic Policy NTA8_Park

M.R. Narayana Impact of population ageing on India’s public finance: New evidence and implications NTA8_Narayana_Impact

Pablo Comelatto Results and issues: NTA in Argentina NTA8_Comelatto

Bernardo Lanza Queiroz Social Security and Retirement in Brazil: relation to youth employment and health trends NTA8_Queiroz

Concurrent Sessions

10:45 – 12:30

I) Time Use (Chair: Gretchen Donehower)

Estela Rivero Intergenerational time transfers in Mexico NTA8_Rivero

Gal, RI, Medgyesi, M, Szabo, E and Vargha, L Introducing age into household satellite accounts NTA8_Gal_etal

Iván Mejía-Guevara Unpaid Non-market Productive Activities by Age and Sex: Measurement and valuation for the United States NTA8_Mejia_timeuse

Luis Rosero-Bixby and Guido Pinto Demography of Eldercare Transfers in Latin America NTA8_Rosero_Pinto

J) Inequality and Class II (Chair: Paulo Saad)

Javier Olivera National Transfers Accounts in Peru: the distribution of transfers in old-age NTA8_Olivera-Angulo

Marisa Bucheli y Cecilia González Public and private transfers by socioeconomic status in Uruguay NTA8_Bucheli_Gonzalez

Bernardo Lanza Queiroz, Cassio Turra, and Izabel Marri Social Security Wealth in Brazil NTA8_Queiroz_etal

Germano Mwabu, Moses Muriithi and Reuben Mutegi The effects of policy changes on education consumption profiles in Kenya: evidence from 1994 and 2005 surveys NTA8_Mwabu_etal

L) Modelling bequests and wealth (Chair: Naohiro Ogawa)

Andrew Mason, Nicole Mun Sim Lai and An-Chi Tung Bequests and Other Asset Transfers NTA8_Mason_Lai_Tung

Yasuyuki Komaki Reassessment of NTA estimation from the viewpoint of SNA: based on a preliminary fact-finding survey NTA8_Komaki

Thomas Lindh and Jovan Žamac Introducing bequest in Swedish NTA NTA8_Zamac

Nicola Sartor GA-NTA: some policy applications to the italian case NTA8_Sartor

POSTER SESSION (during lunch time – both days)

Plenary Session

Chair: Ronald D. Lee

01:30 – 02:30 Concurrent regional meetings

03:00 – 04:30 Reports

Report on EWC/UNFPA Technical Policy Seminar on the Economics of Aging (Andrew Mason and Sidney Westley) NTA8_Westley

Report on UN/EGM - NTA Manual (Jorge Bravo)

Reports by working groups and regional leaders

Proposal for new activities, accomplishments and challenges, next conference and other ideas

04:30 – 05:15 Closing remarks and announcements








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