Population and the Global Economy

New estimates of economic flows by age combined with population projections show that in the coming decades 1) global GDP growth will slow by about 1 percentage point per year, more sharply than population growth; 2) GDP will shift towards sub-Saharan Africa more than population trends suggest; 3) aging has so far raised consumption by children and seniors as compared with those in the working ages; 4) changing population age distribution will raise living standards in many developing nations; 5) changing economic life cycles amplify the economic effects of population aging in many higher income economies; and 6) population aging will push public debt, private assets, and perhaps productivity higher. Population change will have profound implications for national, regional and global economies.

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